LIV Golf Predictions NEW BETA

Updated: 2025-05-16 16:37:02

Our AI model simulates each LIV Golf tournament 10,000 times to generate predictions for tournament winners, top finishers, and special prop bets.

LIV Golf Adelaide

2025-05-17 to 2025-05-19 $25 Million

The Grange Golf Club, Adelaide, Australia

Tournament Predictions

Rank Golfer LIV Rank World Rank Win % Top 5 Top 10 Top 20 Proj. Score
1
Cameron Smith Australia
3 21 19.0% 73.2% 100.0% 100.0% -3.598329999999663
2
Dustin Johnson USA
1 15 14.1% 66.7% 100.0% 100.0% -2.669430000000716
3
Louis Oosthuizen South Africa
6 47 13.8% 63.9% 100.0% 100.0% -2.3668800000014585
4
Abraham Ancer Mexico
8 58 12.4% 61.8% 100.0% 100.0% -2.1175700000001996
5
Brooks Koepka USA
2 18 11.2% 59.6% 100.0% 100.0% -1.7392400000000805
6
Bryson DeChambeau USA
4 25 10.7% 60.7% 100.0% 100.0% -1.830239999999577
7
Sergio Garcia Spain
5 42 10.2% 58.4% 100.0% 100.0% -1.5780100000003756
8
Patrick Reed USA
7 51 8.5% 55.5% 100.0% 100.0% -1.215580000000216

Special Tournament Bets

Winner Finishes Under Par
100.0%
Less Likely More Likely
Tournament Ends in Playoff
0.9%
Less Likely More Likely
Wire-to-Wire Winner
29.9%
Less Likely More Likely
Hole-in-One During Tournament
1.4%
Less Likely More Likely
Cameron Smith: All Rounds Under Par
27.4%
Less Likely More Likely
Dustin Johnson: All Rounds Under Par
22.3%
Less Likely More Likely
Louis Oosthuizen: All Rounds Under Par
21.2%
Less Likely More Likely

About Our LIV Golf Predictions

How Our Model Works

Our LIV Golf prediction model uses Monte Carlo simulation to generate probabilities for each tournament. The model:

  • Simulates each 54-hole LIV tournament 10,000 times
  • Accounts for golfer-specific statistics: driving distance, accuracy, greens in regulation, and putting
  • Considers course factors and recent performance
  • Calculates win probability, top finishes, and projected scores
  • Generates special prop bets unique to each tournament

Betting with Our Predictions

When using our predictions for betting, consider:

  • Compare our win percentages to implied odds from sportsbooks
  • Look for value in prop bets where our model differs from the market
  • Don't focus solely on favorites; sometimes value is in mid-tier players
  • Consider betting on top-5, top-10, or top-20 finishes for more consistent results
  • Remember that golf has inherent variance; always bet responsibly