BOS at NY
NBA • 7:00 PM ET
Projected Winner
BOS
51%
Win Probability
Projected Score
110.5
VS
51%
49%
BOS
vs
NY
Projected Total:
220.0
NY
49%
Win Probability
Projected Score
109.5
Team Props
BOS Over 110.5 Points
Projection: 110.5 points (Under by 0.0)
-110
NY Under 112.5 Points
Projection: 109.5 points (Under by 3.0)
-110
Race to 20 Points: NY
Projection: 57% probability of NY reaching 20 first
-105
Sportsbook Odds
| Sportsbook | NY | BOS | Last Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betmgm | 401769763.0 | 13.0 | 2025-05-16 13:08 |
| Caesars | 401769744.0 | -1.0 | 2025-05-16 13:08 |
| Draftkings | 401769757.0 | 0.0 | 2025-05-16 13:08 |
| Fanduel | 401769762.0 | 1.0 | 2025-05-16 13:08 |
| Pointsbet | 401769741.0 | -3.0 | 2025-05-16 13:08 |
Player Props
Star Player Over 26.5 Points
Projection: 28.3 points (Over by 1.8)
-110
Top Shooter Over 4.5 Three-Pointers
Projection: 4.2 three-pointers (Under by 0.3)
+120
Team MVP Triple-Double
Projection: 23% triple-double probability (Fair odds: +335)
+225
Prediction Analysis
Prediction Trend Analysis
Risk Rating:
5
Home Win Probability Trend
Away Win Probability Trend
Total Points Trend
What does this mean?
Our trend analysis tracks how predictions change over time as new data becomes available. The risk rating (1-10) indicates how uncertain the prediction is, with higher numbers meaning more risk.
The BOS have a 51% chance to win against the NY.
After running 10,000 simulations through our NBA analytics model, we've identified a clear advantage for the BOS with a 51% win probability. Here's what's driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency: The BOS are operating at 117.3 points per 100 possessions, which outpaces the NY's defensive rating by 5.2 points.
- Three-Point Shooting: The BOS's three-point shooting has been exceptional lately at 38.7%, creating superior spacing that will stress the NY's perimeter defense.
- Rebounding Edge: Our model projects a +6 rebounding advantage for the BOS, providing crucial second-chance opportunities and limiting the NY's transition offense.
- Tempo Control: The BOS excel at playing at their preferred pace of 99.5 possessions per game, which statistically favors their style against the NY.
Watch for the BOS to establish their rhythm early and potentially force the NY to adjust their defensive scheme. Based on our model, the line value appears to favor betting on the BOS in this matchup.